The present work is the first public prospective study elaborated in România according to a classic technique transformed into a model by the Conflict Prevention and Early Warning Center Bucharest. It is the result of a GMF project developed between April and July 2014 on a very hot issue, the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, including the annexation of Crimea and ending now with the hybrid war in the Eastern regions of Lugansk and Donetsk of Ukraine. The result is a fairly Romanian Academic approach to the possible evolution of the situation in Ukraine on short, mid and long term.
